Snakes in a drain: a new era for oil?

The OPEC deal announced last week helped to propel the price of a barrel of Brent Crude over the $50 mark,  the highest for well over a year and almost double its January low. But prices have stalled since, underlining our view that this isn’t a one way ticket. So where next for oil?

Defaults and dislocation

The bad news first: we start the second quarter with dark clouds gathering. The ECB has pulled out negative rates as its last available weapon to re-energise European economies. UK GDP growth forecasts have been revised downward again. Many companies are complaining of the most difficult trading conditions since the credit crisis. There’s talk of … More Defaults and dislocation

Sense and sensibility

Market sensibility means we have to take a deeper dive into the underlying data to get a clearer understanding of what’s going on. We find that corporate sense is keeping M&A in fashion, debt markets are beginning to show the strain in places and it’s all about windows…..

Previewing 2016: There may be trouble ahead…

..but while there’s liquidity, spare cash and romance let’s face the market and transact! The prevailing corporate attitude in 2015 was to fight disruptive forces, low growth and uncertainty by transforming the portfolio and building resilience.  Our base case for 2016 is that companies will face similar challenges, turned up a notch. There’s an air … More Previewing 2016: There may be trouble ahead…