This week we highlight seven charts, taking us through the maelstrom of market themes that we take into summer. It is still a hopeful picture, but not as benign as some indices suggest. Liquidity may smooth over a multitude of stresses for some time yet, but some pinch-points are still emerging.
Just the first round of the French Presidential election, new US tax plans, sterling at a seven-month high and more big deals…. Can we cover all this in 800 words and give you the low-down on our latest EY Quarterly Profit Warning report and 16th Capital Confidence Barometer? Yes – and we begin and end … More Just another quiet week…
On paper there’s some testing events coming up, from the French election to some potentially pivotal monetary policy meetings and on-going debates around BREXIT and US policy. Geopolitical tensions are also heightened. But, we’ve been through difficult quarters before without there being much discernible change on the ground in terms of investor sentiment and corporate attitudes … More Q2…something new?
Profit warnings are a measure of performance against expectation. So, given the overall upside surprise in 2016, it’s not surprising that the annual figure was the lowest for three years. But our data also tells a story of a growing gap between winners and losers. What’s creating such a great divergence, will it last and … More Profit warnings: who’s swimming against the tide?
Making predictions is always daunting – this year more than most. Nevertheless, we’re going to look beyond current uncertainties to identify trends that will influence the Capital Agenda in 2017. One easy prediction: it won’t be quiet. Beyond that, almost anything seems possible. Last year’s overturning of decades of consensus was truly extraordinary; but, we … More And to come in 2017?
How do we even start to sum up 2016 on in one blog? Great tomes will surely be written about a year in which so many orthodoxies were overturned and paradigms shifted. But we’re going to give it our best shot by picking what we think are five standout moments– i.e. those we think best … More What happened in 2016?
I don’t know about you, but I’m finding it increasingly hard to predict where markets will go next. I understand the logic behind the recent rise in equities – but not the certainty with which it’s being applied. We don’t know for sure what BREXIT or a Trump presidency means. So, I wondered…does this rally … More Do record highs signal investor confidence?