This week’s post comes from Dougald Middleton, Partner in UKI Transaction Advisory Services at EY. The middle class is shrinking in the UK and in almost every developed economy. The structural drivers that rebalanced employment towards managerial and professional roles are weakening – along with economic growth rates – and this turnaround in fortunes is … More What happens when we lose the middle?
This week’s Capital Agenda Blog comes from Alan Hudson, Head of UK Restructuring. UK quoted companies issued 89 profit warnings in the first quarter of 2019. This is the highest first quarter total since 2009. Indeed, our EY Profit Warning Stress Index has only been higher twice before – both times during the last recession. … More Has UK plc lost its earnings compass?
January has two faces. On the one side, a global market rally, on the other rising global risks. There’s an obvious tension here. The rally seems largely based on investor expectations that these rising risks will slow the pace of US interest rate rises. But, 2019’s risks look broader and deeper than 2016, when we … More 2019, the story so far…
This week’s Capital Agenda Blog comes from Alan Hudson, Head of UK Restructuring and Kirsten Tompkins, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Content Editor. The Capital Agenda Blog usually starts the year with predictions for the 12 months ahead…but where do you start? The only thing we can predict is unpredictability – not least because Brexit isn’t … More What price uncertainty?
This week’s Capital Agenda Blog comes from Adrian Browne, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Markets Leader, and Kirsten Tompkins, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Lead Content Editor. What stands out most from our 2018 word cloud is ‘More’. We clearly used that word a lot! This last year had more volatility, more uncertainty, and more disruption – but … More What happened in 2018?
In other words, what’s happening apart from Brexit? Because, without wanting to downgrade its significance, there is so much more going on that could easily be lost in the pre-vote maelstrom. Which is why this week, I’m going to focus on three other themes we can’t lose sight of – all of which also have … More What else is happening?
My immediate answer is “riskier uncertainty”. Not knowing what happens on 29 March 2019 isn’t new. But although we now have a deal; the events of the last seven days seem to have increased probability of no deal. This is a new level of uncertainty with a rapidly approaching cliff-edge. Which is why, rather than trying … More What does Brexit mean now?