I have a strong feeling that we’ve been here before. Major central banks making tightening noises with nothing to little happening has been a recurring theme since we started this blog. So what could be different this time? Three of the four major central banks have effectively billed the next quarter as one where they will … More The interest rate conundrum
If we take one message from recent trading statements, it’s that UK consumers are feeling the strain. Of the fourteen profit warnings we’ve recorded in the last ten days, nine are from consumer-related sectors and four are from companies in the FTSE Travel & Leisure sector. This week’s blog focuses on restaurants, a sector that’s … More Why is restaurant distress back on the menu?
As we move into autumn I’m struck by growing contrasts. Heightened geopolitical tensions are hard to miss and financial risks are moving back in the spotlight. But, there are also many positives, including improving earnings and Eurozone story. This week we highlight some of the themes we think exemplify this contradictory outlook – and think about … More Season of contrasts
Hello, I’m Adrian Browne and very pleased to be taking over from Michel Driessen, both as UKI TAS Markets Leader and as chief editor of this blog. I want to start my blog career by posing a question that I think we’ll be coming back to many times. Markets are losing momentum, but how much can we … More How will we know if the cycle is turning?
This is my last blog as EY TAS Markets Leader before I hand the baton to Adrian Browne. It has been an eventful two years and I wanted to take time to look back, but also look as far forward as we can in such extraordinary times.
This time three years ago, we wrote a blog wondering if we’d seen an end to Eurozone-inspired summer volatility. This week, we’re wondering if what looks like an economic turning point and some surprise central bank moves will herald volatility’s return. Political uncertainty, contradictory data and central bank surprises might just be enough to break through this QE-assisted calm … More Will volatility return this summer?
Well, we said it could be a pivotal month! I confess that I didn’t have this exact scenario in mind, but it does seem to follow recent global trends of polarised politics and electorates looking for something new. This is still – as they say in 24 hour news circles – a ‘fluid situation’. But, today I … More Where do we go from here?