Takeaways: UK economy picks up steam with GDP, employment growth and government borrowing performing strongly Demand for credit from UK companies is on the up, with supply gaps being filled from the increasingly established alternative funders Outlook appears robust for debt capital supply, with the potential UK EU referendum a key risk on the horizon … More As we power ahead, what next for the UK borrowers?
Takeaways: Some of the trends for the year discussed last week are already apparent in events during the first weeks of 2015. Innovation is driving IP-centric M&A and divergent economic performances is showing where future stress points may appear.
Takeaways: Last year had its moments, but the last 12 months could look pedestrian compared to 2015. Of course change and even faster growth can bring challenge along with opportunity. Time to wheel out that old, but true, maxim that recovery can be the best, but also the worst of times for companies – and … More Buckle-up! Ten themes for 2015
Takeaway Monetary policies are polarising as fortunes diverge. Balancing the opportunities and risks will be easier for companies able to buy in areas of growth, access cheap debt markets in areas of stress and ride the currency waves. However, for those stuck on the wrong side of the currency equation or the growth and deflation … More Divergent – the opportunities and risks of diverging fortunes
Takeaways: Deflation risks in spotlight. Eurozone forecasts dip further. Saudi action pushes oil price even lower. Bank of Japan hits the QE (panic) button (again) – raising the stakes in the currency markets. Strong corporate balance sheets provide opportunities to counter growth/deflation risks with acquisitions – despite the October M&A pause, pipelines look strong. Investor … More Deflating times
Takeaways: A new era awaits. The Fed’s final QE hurrah was flagged, but we expect more market discretion, volatility, disruption and currency oscillation without this safety net. The cost of debt capital will rise. Weaker/exposed nations and companies can expect a rougher ride. Brazil and Turkey look exposed. AQR ran just about to script, but … More New era in capital after (US) QE and AQR draws a line.
According to EY’s 11th bi-annual Global Capital Confidence Barometer (CCB), 40% of companies anticipate pursuing acquisitions in the next 12 months – the highest number for three years. More robust market conditions and expanding deal pipelines should see global M&A return to 2006 pre-crisis volume and value levels after a five-year deal slump. While 2014 … More Dealmaking set to rebound as middle-market looks set to drive M&A
Deflation, deflation, deflation…. Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose – the more things change, the more they stay the same. There’s a change in ECB rhetoric, but we’re effectively looking at the same solutions. Markets are happy as long as someone is hinting at money printing – doesn’t matter whom or why. The disparity between … More Deflation, deflation, deflation
There are many questions to ponder this week. From the strength of the US recovery to why markets seem only periodically concerned with geopolitical turmoil – is everything a buying opportunity these days? Are junk bonds our canary? Is Banco Espirito Santo the last European bank casualty or a taste of things to come? US … More Questions, Questions…
The Bank of England unsurprisingly kept rates on hold last week and we have heard no more from Governor Mark Carney to help in determining the timing of any shift in policy.