January has two faces. On the one side, a global market rally, on the other rising global risks. There’s an obvious tension here. The rally seems largely based on investor expectations that these rising risks will slow the pace of US interest rate rises. But, 2019’s risks look broader and deeper than 2016, when we … More 2019, the story so far…
This week’s Capital Agenda Blog comes from Adrian Browne, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Markets Leader, and Kirsten Tompkins, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Lead Content Editor. What stands out most from our 2018 word cloud is ‘More’. We clearly used that word a lot! This last year had more volatility, more uncertainty, and more disruption – but … More What happened in 2018?
This week’s blog comes from Natalia Pugach, a Director in our Restructuring Modelling team. High profile failures, profit warnings and asset write-downs have put the spotlight on how well companies are measuring their performance and delivering against their forecasts and investment hypotheses. Deals, debt arrangements and forecasts made in brighter times are coming under greater scrutiny. … More Do your forecasts still stack up?
..but while there’s liquidity, spare cash and romance let’s face the market and transact! The prevailing corporate attitude in 2015 was to fight disruptive forces, low growth and uncertainty by transforming the portfolio and building resilience. Our base case for 2016 is that companies will face similar challenges, turned up a notch. There’s an air … More Previewing 2016: There may be trouble ahead…
Takeways: This week we’re bringing you a ‘back to school’ edition of the blog – although, judging from this summer’s level of activity, it doesn’t look like many of you spent that much time away from your desk. Nevertheless, we thought it would be a good time to put together our thoughts on what the … More What could the rest of 2015 hold?
Takeaways: UK companies are issuing more profit warnings now than 2014. It would be easy to blame election stutters, sterling or oil prices, but the struggle to forecast isn’t new. Volatility, price pressure and disruptive influences have proved to be a troubling mix in this recovery – especially when costs are already cut to the … More The future isn’t what it used to be…what next for earnings?
Season of mists and reality checks Last week brought a familiar September market swoon, including a 15-month low for the FTSE and the highest spread between high-yield and investment bonds since July 2013. Risk appetites – if not completely unwinding – are becoming more discerning.