Takeaways: A deal at last for Greece! After marathon talks which lasted over 17 hours, an agreement was announced on Sunday night to keep the Greeks in the Euro. ‘Deal’ in this case being an agreement to enter talks on a new bailout linked to a range of new pre-conditions. This effectively leaves Greece borrowing … More Yet another Greek tragedy playing out in Europe
Takeaways: With an unexpectedly strong victory for the ‘No’ campaign in the Greek referendum we are sailing ever deeper into uncharted waters – and that brings a level of uncertainty that could rein-in the confidence shown by companies and investors alike in the first half of the year.
Takeaways: Efforts to limit direct exposure means Greece is increasingly morphing into a political, rather than a financial crisis; but that can quickly change if companies and markets freeze or the political crisis extends elsewhere. The ECB’s move today to extend QE asset eligibility was necessary in any case…and possibly pre-emptive.
Takeaways: With Greece on the edge, markets have maintained remarkable poise. Meanwhile, there’s a warning that UK interest rates might rise this summer. Another Maradona moment? Labour markets might be ‘fizzing’, but a rate rise this summer feels premature, with echoes of the ECB’s move in 2008.
Takeaways: Greece is taking this to the 11th hour, so we turn our attention to buying and lending. Global M&A is still going great guns despite the slowdown in Q1…or is that because of? Meanwhile, more data on shadow banking pushes it out into the light and further to the notice of regulators. But there’s … More Deals into the light; lending into the shadows
Takeaways: Knowing when the game’s up might be the theme of the week. The Greek saga rumbles on with both sides not able to agree now on how close they are to a deal. Eurozone markets remain sanguine. UK markets are even buoyant, with rising earnings expectations providing support. But will the recent lack of … More On the rebound?
Takeaways: It’s a week that’s pushed US and UK rate expectations back, brought ECB buying forward and dragged all three currencies, but especially the euro down. The UK’s brush with negative inflation added to the ‘loose’ narrative – just don’t call it deflation or get complacent. All this has helped steady bond markets, but it’s … More The minute waltz