2019, the story so far…

January has two faces. On the one side, a global market rally, on the other rising global risks. There’s an obvious tension here. The rally seems largely based on investor expectations that these rising risks will slow the pace of US interest rate rises. But, 2019’s risks look broader and deeper than 2016, when we … More 2019, the story so far…

What happened in 2018?

This week’s Capital Agenda Blog comes from Adrian Browne, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Markets Leader, and Kirsten Tompkins, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Lead Content Editor. What stands out most from our 2018 word cloud is ‘More’. We clearly used that word a lot! This last year had more volatility, more uncertainty, and more disruption – but … More What happened in 2018?

Through the looking glass: from low yields to old solutions

Sometimes you need time away to really see how much has changed. What’s really grabbing my attention now is the low growth, low inflation, low interest rate world in which we find ourselves. It’s partly a hangover from the global financial crisis; but it’s also a product of secular forces – i.e. it’s not going … More Through the looking glass: from low yields to old solutions

All about growth

The tumultuous start to 2016 has raised fears about US growth prospects – to the point where we need to address recession talk. Given the increasingly loose monetary outlook, a US recession and/or global downturn seem an unlikely scenario without a significant, systemic trigger. More of the same slightly sluggish growth is the most likely … More All about growth

The Fed awakens!

Takeaways: An end to uncertainty, an effective vote of confidence and the repetitive use of the word ‘gradual’ by the FOMC inspired a brief rally in most equity and bond markets – even in some more vulnerable areas. So, is there really nothing to see here after their 0.25% increase in interest rates? Not quite. The … More The Fed awakens!

Ifs, buts & mibbes…

Ifs, buts & mibbes It’s a truism that markets hate uncertainty. Flat calm brings its own complications – certainly for those who need volatility for margin and volumes. However, it’s hard to imagine many welcoming this week’s uncertainty play. The Federal Reserve and Scotland top the bill and the Fed isn’t even the main event. … More Ifs, buts & mibbes…