Half empty, or half full?

This week’s blog comes from EY’s UK&I Markets Leader, Lee Downham. Capital markets started 2020 with renewed optimism, but recent events have reminded us that new certainties and opportunities mix with old concerns and new worries. It’s this complex mix of forces that I think will create significant contrasts in fortunes – both between and within … More Half empty, or half full?

What else is happening?

In other words, what’s happening apart from Brexit? Because, without wanting to downgrade its significance, there is so much more going on that could easily be lost in the pre-vote maelstrom. Which is why this week, I’m going to focus on three other themes we can’t lose sight of – all of which also have … More What else is happening?

What’s new in oil?

At the end of 2016 we wrote about a new era for oil and a new pricing pattern that we thought would hold into 2017.  Is the snake still stuck in the drain? How well is our price prediction holding up and what does it mean for M&A and the much beleaguered oil field services sector in 2017? … More What’s new in oil?

Snakes in a drain: a new era for oil?

The OPEC deal announced last week helped to propel the price of a barrel of Brent Crude over the $50 mark,  the highest for well over a year and almost double its January low. But prices have stalled since, underlining our view that this isn’t a one way ticket. So where next for oil?

Divergence and adjustment: looking beyond the ‘new normal’.

Takeaways:  Euro-dollar divergence and the weak commodities outlook are on the agenda this week as we await new pronouncements from the ECB and OPEC – keeping the Fed’s next move always in mind. Given this week’s fever pitch of speculation, the ECB might need to take pretty radical action to move markets further and keep … More Divergence and adjustment: looking beyond the ‘new normal’.

The real deal

Takeaways: Volatility, growth worries….what of them! Deal making surpassed 2007 figures in August  regardless – or should that be ‘because of’ these concerns? While we all wait on the Fed, it seems like an opportune time to cast our eyes around the deal landscape, because there’s certainly plenty to ponder. Deal dynamics are very different … More The real deal