This week’s Capital Agenda Blog comes from Adrian Browne, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Markets Leader, and Kirsten Tompkins, UK&I Transaction Advisory Services Lead Content Editor. What stands out most from our 2018 word cloud is ‘More’. We clearly used that word a lot! This last year had more volatility, more uncertainty, and more disruption – but … More What happened in 2018?
Well, we said it could be a pivotal month! I confess that I didn’t have this exact scenario in mind, but it does seem to follow recent global trends of polarised politics and electorates looking for something new. This is still – as they say in 24 hour news circles – a ‘fluid situation’. But, today I just wanted to take a moment to think about where we could go from here. Emphasis on the ‘could’ since this could be an interesting ride. … More Where do we go from here?
When we said the second quarter would bring new challenges, a snap UK general election wasn’t on our minds, but political uncertainty was. Therefore, it’s interesting that markets currently seem to be pricing in greater certainty as a result of this week’s announcement. We don’t know if this election will run more to script than others have in the last year; but we’ve started to think about what it might mean for companies and markets – and how much it matters in the grand scheme of 2017. … More What does the general election mean for capital?
Takeaway: The IMF’s warning about global debt levels comes at a time when it looks like investors can’t seem to get enough of corporate loans and bonds– even if yields dip below zero. But there are increasing signs that central banks might be calling time – at least on further QE – and may even … More Head-over-heals in debt
It’s hard to take your eyes off what’s going on in the markets. We’re not ignoring these stresses and strains and this week’s blog covers the primary themes in four charts. But, I also want to think more practically. Given that uncertainty looks set to be an overused word for many, many months yet, there’s … More And the world keeps turning…
Takeaways: With Greece on the edge, markets have maintained remarkable poise. Meanwhile, there’s a warning that UK interest rates might rise this summer. Another Maradona moment? Labour markets might be ‘fizzing’, but a rate rise this summer feels premature, with echoes of the ECB’s move in 2008.